Jan 22, 2013

A Quick Rant - When Use Of The Theory Fails

Majority of people who watch the cycling weather patterns do not often exploit them when the use of them fails. I am in a position of experimentation and examination. Personally I want to see it both succeed and fail. The theory is not linear and that simple fact is blatantly obvious beginning day two of the quest to keep up.

When using the theory to project surface observations a scenario for a consistent fail is in the current pattern. Within the visually chaotic mess that this pattern holds, the previous cycle threw the 'trending' aspect for a 180° flip-flop loop. A few factors that give claim to "it all being part of the cycle" can be used for this one; seasonal twist, every other cycle, etc.

(Oct 2-7; Nov 24-29; Jan 16-21)

(click on the image for a much larger view)

Fantastic. Yes, I can see the pattern. Yes, I know surface variables are difficult to trend due to friction this close to the earth. But, like the many in the Pacific Northwest, even in the Midwest the middle of the atmosphere is blowing it for any form of "sensible" weather recognition with this pattern.

But wait! If one has been following the cycles for a few years it is likely they have grasped the many concepts of the patterns and how they might act from season to season, or cycle to cycle. Am I safe to conclude that next cycle, in Oshkosh, the below average trend will not come to fruition and it is highly likely we will experience what we did to begin December? Temperatures much above average because of the potential "every other cycle" rule?! We will see. :)

If there are any questions or thoughts on my research and analysis of the theory or how I presented the material just let me know in the comments section of the blog. Thanks for reading!