Jun 7, 2018

RRWT Forecast Verification

Slowly automating RRWT forecast verification. Utilizing GrADS scorr function at the moment. Unsure hemispheric spatial correlation is the best path, but I find it entertaining that generating a forecast verification is considerably more intensive than generating a forecast.



Experimenting with the verification strategy and metrics. Incorporating the recent USBR Rodeo forecast competition submission concept showcasing the weeks 3&4 and the weeks 5&6 forecasts.



Scores located here: http://www.consonantchaos.com/a-all.html

If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Thank you for reading.

Jun 1, 2018

2018 Indian Summer Monsoon

14 of the 31 May RRWT precipitation rate outlooks for June, July, and August are suggesting a potential deficit in Indian rainfall compared to the average of the past 10 years.




8 of the 31 are suggesting similar accumulations of the past 10 years.





If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Thank you for reading.

Jan 23, 2018

RRWT Correlation Wave(s)

The Pacific Ocean has been dominating recently.




If there are any questions, comments, or suggestions on the material presented please let me know. Thank you for reading.